and electoral vote.com, which has seemed to swing to the right a bit, calls it thusly:

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 298 Bush 231

giving FL, PA and OH to Kerry for a total of 68 EV's. Of course we'll see what the voters, and the lawyers, and the press, and probably the Supreme Court Justices have to say on the subject, but hey, it might be a beautiful day in the neighbourhood tomorrow...

It could also, of course, be four more years of the same:

If today's results are the final results Wednesday morning, John Kerry will
be elected as the 44th President of the United States, with 283 votes in the
electoral college to George Bush's 246. But don't count on it. Many of Kerry's
leads are razor thin. Counting only the strong + weak states, Bush leads 229 to
196, with 113 electoral votes in the tossup category Kerry's leads in the tossup
states mean little to nothing. The turnout Tuesday will determine who
wins.